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How serious is the threat of military conflict between Niger and ECOWAS nations?

Joe Biden has called for the immediate release of the president of Niger and the restoration of democracy in the country, in a press release of the United States since the crime that removed Mohamed Bazoum from power, as the Senegalese have also tried to say pressure. its forces will participate in military intervention if necessary."I am calling for the immediate release of President Bazoum and his family and for the protection of Niger's strong democracy," Trump said in a statement on Thursday, marking the 63rd anniversary of Niger's independence. Niger. "At this critical time, the United States stands with the people of Niger to honor our decades-long partnership rooted in democratic principles and support for civilian rule. The decision against Bazoum is the seventh in West and Central Africa since 2020. In Senegal's capital, Dakar, Foreign Minister Aïssata Tall Sall told reporters that there has been "very much unity" in the region and that Senegal will join if the Economic Community of West African States (ECOWAS) decides to intervene in the war in Niger. "The Senegalese army, because of all these things, will go there," he said, referring to Senegal's national commitment. “Senegal's commitment is that these regimes must be stopped. Sall and Biden's comments came as the country's leaders appeared on television to warn against foreign military interference in the impoverished country. In one of the few speeches in the West African country, since Bazoum, the head of Niger's democracy, took power a week ago, General Abdourahmane Tchiani warned against foreign interference and intervention. Tchiani called on "the people of Niger as a whole and their unity to defeat all those who want to make our workers suffer unnecessarily and destroy our country". His comments came after ECOWAS officials said the political and security group would consider military intervention as a last resort if the leadership did not stop. Niger has become a key Western ally in the Sahel region in the fight against regional jihadist groups and has supported French, American, and other forces. Russia has recently tried to use this regime of repression in the Sahel. Western officials are afraid that if the army leaves Niger, it will open up the possibility of Russia and Wagner's mercenary group. 

The Kremlin already has a large presence in Mali, the Central African Republic, and Sudan while they are targeting Burkina Faso. With Bazoum's dismissal, these workers - France in particular - were seen as a threat, as the putschists fueled anti-foreign sentiments that sometimes turned into protests. Biden said, "The people of Niger have the right to choose their leaders. They expressed their will through free elections - that must be respected. But Tchiani, in his speech on television, said that Niger is going through difficult times and he condemned the "hostile and rebellious" behavior of those who oppose his government. He called the sanctions imposed by ECOWAS after the regime illegal, unjust, cruel, and unprecedented. These include halting energy trade in Niger, which receives up to 90 percent of its electricity from neighboring Nigeria, according to the International Renewable Energy Agency. Niger has recently suffered several fires in various cities for Nigeria which has cut off its power supply. Tchiani's bold statement came as the fourth French military plane left Niger after France, Italy, and Spain announced the evacuation of their citizens and other Europeans from the capital. In Niger, Niamey, fears and they will be arrested. Nearly 1,000 people left on four flights and a fifth was being taken off, the French foreign ministry said. The US State Department on Wednesday ordered what it said was the temporary departure of non-essential diplomatic staff and some family members from Niger as a precaution. A two-day meeting of security chiefs from the ECOWAS group opened in the Nigerian capital Abuja on Wednesday to discuss the next steps. Abdel-Fatau Musah, the group's commissioner for politics, peace, and stability, said that the meeting will look at how we interact with the police and the detention situation we find ourselves in the Republic of Niger. ".It is not yet clear how the ECOWAS military will be involved. While a Western diplomat in Niamey, who did not want to be identified for security reasons, thinks it will be, other analysts suggest that the coup could be delayed in the face of threats. The M62 Movement, a militant group that organized anti-Russian and French protests, has called on residents of Niamey to unite and block the airport until foreign forces leave the city. "Any withdrawal of Europeans [should be] a condition for the immediate withdrawal of foreign troops," Mahaman Sanoussi, the group's national coordinator, said in a statement.

West African Nations Threaten to Use Force if Niger's President Isn't  Reinstated Within a Week | Military.com

“I call for President Bazoum and his family to be immediately released, and for the preservation of Niger’s hard-earned democracy,” the US president said in a statement on Thursday, the 63rd anniversary of Niger’s independence. “In this critical moment, the United States stands with the people of Niger to honor our decades-long partnership rooted in shared democratic values and support for civilian-led governance.” “Senegalese soldiers, for all these reasons, will go there,” she said, citing Senegal’s international commitments. “Senegal’s conviction is that these coups must be stopped.” Tchiani called on “the people of Niger as a whole and their unity to defeat all those who want to inflict unspeakable suffering on our hard-working populations and destabilise our country”. Biden said: “The Nigerien people have the right to choose their leaders. They have expressed their will through free and fair elections – and that must be respected.”

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